Archive for August, 2008

Energy Costs and Our Economy

Friday, August 15th, 2008

            In my previous post I explained my view on the direction America’s energy policy needs to go.  Some of the responses to my post expressed concern as to what can be done to reduce energy prices while we develop and improve new technologies.  In order to explain this we must first examine what is applying downward pressure on our economy, creating the rampant inflation we are experiencing, and elevating oil prices to unsustainable levels. 

            As you know all too well, it would be difficult to exaggerate the impact that escalating energy costs have on our economy and the lives of Americans.  Our dependence on foreign oil has added to our trade deficit which has contributed to the declining value of our dollar and led to our highest rate of inflation in recent history.  Excessive energy costs have created a downward economic cycle that is at risk of spiraling out of control.  As energy costs rise businesses pass the cost on to the consumer.  Consumers, who are facing increased costs and limited resources, are conserving where they can and limiting discretionary spending.  This in turn is reducing business revenues in nearly all industries causing large corporations and small businesses alike to reduce their production, shrink their workforce, declare bankruptcy, and in some cases go out of business altogether.  Of course this further reduces consumer spending and the downward pressure on our economy continues.  We cannot simply save our way out of this cycle.  While individual conservation will have some effect on our personal finances, it does nothing to substantially reduce the price of energy.  Few businesses can significantly reduce their energy consumption without severely impacting production levels.  Shrinking production to the extent necessary to affect energy usage will result in vast layoffs, increased unit costs to recover fixed overhead costs, and therefore compound our rate of inflation.  Oil is the life blood of economic growth and the unintended consequences of elevated energy prices, such as inflation, are already proving to be disastrous. 

            The good news is we do not have a shortage of oil at this time.  There are no reports of fuel rationing, no gas lines like we saw in the 1970’s, and no gas stations are running out of gasoline to sell.  In the short term, there is little that we can do to affect the price of oil today outside of reducing restrictions and regulations on domestic oil drilling and on building additional refineries.  The current price of oil is driven by the futures price of oil.  Oil futures are driven by speculators and based on future supply and demand.  Rather than blame the speculators, we need to pay attention to what they are basing their decisions on.  Soaring oil prices fueled by speculation means that based on expected global oil production capacity and anticipated global oil consumption, demand will exceed supply in the future.    What the speculators are telling us and what we need to respond to today is that there will be oil shortages in the future unless we start doing something now.  It is no coincidence that since President Bush repealed the Presidential ban on offshore drilling, oil prices have receded by nearly $30 per barrel.  If our government will simply allow oil companies to locate, drill, and refine oil, they will effect a change in the global oil production capacity portion of the speculation equation which will cause oil futures and thus current oil prices to be reduced now even though they may not actually be able to produce that oil for several years. 

As we explore and drill, we must continue our research to discover and refine sustainable sources of energy.  One source of sustainable electrical power that is readily available is nuclear.  It is clean, cost effective, and safe.  Western Europe produces most of its electricity from nuclear power; France generates nearly 80% of its electricity from nuclear power.  Current power plant design is safer and more efficient than any of the nuclear plants we are currently operating and can be constructed and on line within 5 years, unless our government burdens the construction and approval process with excessive restrictions and regulations.

While calling on all Americans to inflate their tires may not have much of an impact on the cost of energy or our economy; there are options available to us that will result in more affordable energy, reduce our inflation, and provide much needed relief to all Americans.  We must demand that government create a comprehensive energy plan that reduces crippling restrictions and regulations to allow the United States to become energy independent and to allow all Americans to go about the business of growing our economy and pursuing our goals and dreams.

Energy Independence

Sunday, August 10th, 2008

A popular topic today revolves around energy policy and fuel prices.  As the price of a gallon of gasoline exceeded $4.00, the focus of the Presidential candidates as well as the media shifted almost exclusively to energy plans.  We have heard plans that include non-existent technologies to plans that are outright ridiculous in nature.  We have seen the oil company executives called before congress and the oil speculators are next in line for scrutiny.  The circus atmosphere surrounding this debate is taking away from the real issues.

            The real issue is that we must do what we can today to minimize and ideally eliminate our need to import foreign oil.  To increase our self reliance we must drill in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge (ANWR), drill off shore, drill in the Gulf of Mexico, sign claim rights and drill in the Arctic.  Processing the oil shale in Colorado and the oil sands in Canada are viable options that were not economically feasible just a few years ago.  Refineries to convert coal to gasoline and diesel fuel and additional nuclear power plants are current technologies that will reduce our dependence on foreign oil.  As we shift to domestic oil production, simultaneously we need to continue to develop more advanced technologies for sustainable energy in an effort to become energy self sufficient.  Currently we are spending billions of dollars each year to import oil.  This is not a “transfer of wealth” as some would lead us to believe; rather it is an exchange of wealth, using our dollars to purchase the energy that fuels our economy and way of life.  In the past it has been less costly to purchase foreign oil than to produce our own oil, this is no longer the case.  Many of the countries that we have conducted business with for years are now or are becoming anti-American. 

As we sit idly by arguing the virtues of non-existent technologies, Russia and China are quietly purchasing and claiming oil and mineral rights all around the world.  If we continue to be blinded by reality we could easily find ourselves at the mercy of these countries, depending on them to provide us with the very life blood of our economy and way of life.  While the price of gasoline and the resulting rampant inflation has awakened America to our weak energy policy, the real issue is not necessarily that of mere economics, but on a larger scale of national security.  Our total economy, and thus the strength of our nation are fueled by energy, primarily oil.  If we do not take steps now to start to become more energy independent, we will in the not too distant future become totally dependent upon anti-American countries to provide us with oil. 

            The United States defeated communism and caused the fall of the Soviet Union not through her military power alone, but rather by causing the former Soviet Union to collapse it’s economy through excessive spending.  We are currently on the other end of that same tactic.  Russia, Venezuela, and Iran are earning billions of dollars in oil revenues as we sit on our own untapped resources, increasing our trade deficit and further devaluing our currency.  Yes, it may take years to build the infrastructure, nuclear plants, and refineries; but every day we delay is another day further from completion.

            The first step toward achieving energy independence is for government to remove the barriers to our energy companies.  Congress must repeal the ban on domestic oil exploration and drilling.  The approval process for new refineries and nuclear power plants must be streamlined.  American businesses and people must be allowed to do what we do best; create superior products and processes through risk, innovation, and hard work.  Given the opportunity, Americans can and will overcome this latest attack on our very way of life, but government must get out of the way to create that opportunity.